Increasing concern exists that with global warming the frequency and severity of disturbance events affecting the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) will increase. When coral rubble, an important product of disturbance events, remains mobile, it can strongly inhibit the ability of young corals to recruit back onto reefs and thus aid reef recovery. Here, we have utilised spatial-temporal data to assess the current state and future scale of rubble generation on the GBR. Taking a GIS approach, we integrated and weighted the relative impact of some of the main drivers of rubble generation during the last 10 years: tropical cyclones, significant wave height (max), depth-averaged current velocities (0.5-9 m), CoTs, and bleaching as recorded by Degree Heating Weeks (DHW). Our results indicate that DHW and CoTs, have less direct impact on coral rubble generation as they are rather preconditioning factors compared with the forcing directly involved in the generation of rubble from tropical cyclones and waves. The central part of the GBR between Bowen and Mackay exhibits the highest vulnerability score, associated with the stronger effects and higher frequencies of tropical cyclones and extreme waves in this region. Further work will include other drivers such as tsunamis and ship groundings.